Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 4.569392 4.924318 5.307327 5.753796 6.263080 6.829720 7.513256
2025-07-27 4.086169 4.587751 5.166841 5.894884 6.800707 7.912013 9.414447
2025-08-03 3.731555 4.301659 4.989793 5.901206 7.108968 8.706634 11.080836
2025-08-10 3.424180 4.020592 4.763494 5.785624 7.206455 9.201865 12.413416
2025-08-17 3.163211 3.765650 4.534151 5.623166 7.195856 9.516705 13.520939
2025-08-24 2.975575 3.585589 4.380446 5.537420 7.268711 9.948339 14.907437
2025-08-31 2.865947 3.496811 4.337100 5.595303 7.551858 10.745956 17.165901
2025-09-07 2.756734 3.399087 4.270811 5.608449 7.760659 11.450243 19.483415
2025-09-14 2.596135 3.220714 4.077644 5.411847 7.603246 11.475796 20.356201
2025-09-21 2.474299 3.089072 3.942207 5.290964 7.555481 11.691636 21.748487
2025-09-28 2.380112 2.990823 3.848312 5.225683 7.592521 12.072564 23.707565
2025-10-05 2.309787 2.922440 3.793440 5.216646 7.725034 12.666542 26.532645
2025-10-12 2.269608 2.897590 3.805200 5.322580 8.091157 13.861135 32.048268
2025-10-19 2.233435 2.876821 3.822003 5.439084 8.496798 15.265474 39.692148
2025-10-26 2.173820 2.818221 3.776311 5.443873 8.683731 16.204137 46.673286
2025-11-02 2.094892 2.727197 3.674591 5.342057 8.640241 16.546080 51.374641
2025-11-09 2.012388 2.627556 3.554375 5.198792 8.493979 16.582779 54.615090
2025-11-16 1.949719 2.555516 3.474791 5.123060 8.483226 16.999754 60.914676
2025-11-23 1.917443 2.528242 3.465544 5.174192 8.754427 18.318351 76.481713
2025-11-30 1.879184 2.490115 3.436433 5.185799 8.938787 19.442297 94.638059
2025-12-07 1.807022 2.397165 3.313214 5.012002 8.676204 19.043286 96.348328
2025-12-14 1.751345 2.328253 3.227373 4.904920 8.561104 19.126534 104.691014
2025-12-21 1.708004 2.277176 3.169094 4.847022 8.556566 19.597136 120.745367